Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.208809 0.239929 0.275017 0.317689 0.368421 0.427096 0.500520
2025-10-26 0.162403 0.203519 0.254954 0.324829 0.418530 0.541639 0.718651
2025-11-02 0.134342 0.178846 0.238763 0.327000 0.456529 0.644432 0.946699
2025-11-09 0.115056 0.160467 0.225201 0.326857 0.487507 0.740702 1.189497
2025-11-16 0.100368 0.145391 0.212664 0.324142 0.511773 0.829709 1.444593
2025-11-23 0.088506 0.132368 0.200575 0.318965 0.529547 0.910255 1.707822
2025-11-30 0.081667 0.125933 0.197468 0.327394 0.571535 1.042828 2.115552
2025-12-07 0.073536 0.116248 0.187481 0.321811 0.586145 1.125866 2.446883
2025-12-14 0.067880 0.109911 0.182181 0.323583 0.614892 1.244373 2.905080
2025-12-21 0.062767 0.103857 0.176499 0.323519 0.639598 1.360169 3.403990
2025-12-28 0.059437 0.100527 0.175249 0.331839 0.683783 1.532868 4.137509
2026-01-04 0.056081 0.096756 0.172652 0.336878 0.721581 1.700808 4.941456
2026-01-11 0.052940 0.093129 0.170042 0.341847 0.761384 1.889297 5.929611
2026-01-18 0.050582 0.090754 0.169643 0.351724 0.816029 2.138678 7.301441
2026-01-25 0.047765 0.087182 0.166354 0.354443 0.852971 2.349630 8.676886
2026-02-01 0.044982 0.083396 0.162163 0.354339 0.882388 2.548357 10.156915
2026-02-08 0.042239 0.079426 0.157120 0.351360 0.903168 2.727034 11.696793
2026-02-15 0.039551 0.075326 0.151346 0.345667 0.914860 2.879417 13.244967
2026-02-22 0.038198 0.073899 0.151367 0.354940 0.974627 3.234824 16.306876
2026-03-01 0.035896 0.070238 0.145901 0.348798 0.984244 3.399793 18.389857
2026-03-08 0.034312 0.068003 0.143522 0.350748 1.021290 3.695775 21.741902
2026-03-15 0.032727 0.065632 0.140573 0.350676 1.051724 3.978953 25.411979
2026-03-22 0.031788 0.064626 0.140812 0.359831 1.117599 4.460066 31.518766